Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000124 0.000132 0.000141 0.000150 0.000161 0.000173 0.000187
2024-12-15 0.000111 0.000122 0.000135 0.000150 0.000168 0.000189 0.000216
2024-12-22 0.000103 0.000116 0.000131 0.000150 0.000174 0.000205 0.000246
2024-12-29 0.000098 0.000113 0.000130 0.000153 0.000184 0.000224 0.000284
2025-01-05 0.000091 0.000106 0.000125 0.000150 0.000184 0.000230 0.000304
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000100 0.000118 0.000144 0.000179 0.000230 0.000314
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000094 0.000113 0.000139 0.000177 0.000232 0.000326
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000088 0.000106 0.000132 0.000170 0.000226 0.000325
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000087 0.000106 0.000133 0.000174 0.000238 0.000357
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000086 0.000106 0.000136 0.000182 0.000256 0.000403
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000086 0.000106 0.000138 0.000188 0.000273 0.000453
2025-02-23 0.000071 0.000087 0.000110 0.000145 0.000204 0.000308 0.000553
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000085 0.000108 0.000144 0.000206 0.000320 0.000608
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000082 0.000105 0.000142 0.000207 0.000330 0.000662
2025-03-16 0.000064 0.000080 0.000104 0.000142 0.000211 0.000349 0.000753
2025-03-23 0.000063 0.000080 0.000104 0.000145 0.000220 0.000380 0.000907
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000077 0.000101 0.000142 0.000218 0.000383 0.000963
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000073 0.000097 0.000136 0.000210 0.000374 0.000966
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000071 0.000093 0.000132 0.000206 0.000370 0.000992
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000067 0.000089 0.000126 0.000196 0.000353 0.000947
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000127 0.000201 0.000373 0.001100
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000129 0.000209 0.000406 0.001366
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000131 0.000217 0.000440 0.001716